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ML-forecasting/docs/linkedin-post.md
Gabriel Pereira 930534dde2 Add privacy-safe demand forecasting case study
Synthetic monthly SKU/region demand notebook comparing a trimmed-mean
baseline against gradient boosting, with a gated TimesFM build-vs-buy
comparison. Includes rolling-origin validation, executive narrative,
architecture diagram, one-page PDF, and LinkedIn draft.

No company data, credentials, or private implementation details.

Co-authored-by: Copilot <223556219+Copilot@users.noreply.github.com>
2026-09-11 16:37:33 -03:00

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# LinkedIn draft
I built a privacy-safe demand-forecasting case study to show how I approach AI delivery as a player/coach.
The demo starts with synthetic monthly demand by SKU and region, then compares:
- an auditable baseline based on the previous eight months;
- one gradient-boosting model with lag and calendar features;
- rolling time-based validation instead of a random train/test split.
The important part is not adding the most models. It is making the path from business question to reproducible evidence explicit: prepare the data, establish a baseline, validate the model, document the operating boundary, and leave a clean seam for future orchestration.
The public repository contains no company data or private implementation details.